Chapter 2 – Grain and oilseed market dynamics
In 2025, globally, grains and oilseeds are increasingly affected by shifting trade patterns, with tariff-related disruptions reshaping flows between China (the world’s largest importer) and major producers such as the United States and Brazil. This has amplified market volatility, elevating the role of logistics and policy alongside production in determining outcomes. Locally, South Africa’s grain and oilseed sector has entered the year with firm supply fundamentals, particularly for maize and soybeans, while wheat remains structurally reliant on imports and global price movements.
Soybean bumper harvest weighs on prices.
Figure 2
Source: GrainSA, 2025
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